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Discussion Paper

2010-08
Detecting Effective Knowledge Sources in Product
Innovation: Evidence from Local Firms and MNCs/JVs
in Southeast Asia

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Shoichi MIYAHARA
School of Economics, Aoyama Gakuin University, Japan

 

Masatsugu TSUJI
Graduate School of Applied Informatics, University of Hyogo, Japan

 

Yasushi UEKI
Bangkok Research Center, IDE/JETRO, Thailand

 

Abstract: This paper examines the effects of internal and external sources of knowledge on the introduction of new products based on new technologies or information at firms which responded to a questionnaire survey conducted in four Southeast Asian countries. The results confirm that local firms make full use of locally available sources of new technology or information to achieve product innovation. On the other hand, foreign-owned firms depend mainly on internal R&D capacities and also possibly upon cooperation with local universities. These findings highlight the fact that local firms complement their lack of internal resources for product innovation with external knowledge sources. Foreign-owned firms utilize their international production networks to concentrate their resources on innovative activities.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-08



Discussion Paper

2010-07
How ICTs Raise Manufacturing Performance:
Firm-level Evidence in Southeast Asia

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Masatsugu TSUJI
Graduate School of Applied Informatics, University of Hyogo, Japan

 

Yasushi UEKI
Bangkok Research Center, IDE/JETRO, Thailand

 

Abstract: This paper examines the effects of information and communication technologies (ICTs) on business performance, using firm-level data obtained through a questionnaire survey in four ASEAN countries (Indonesia, The Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam). Sources of information and new technologies exchanged via ICTs by firms are also explored to investigate the mechanism behind ICT adoption. Empirical results verify that the introduction of ICT to reorganize business processes is significantly correlated with business performance, in particular the development of export markets and improvement of production management. ICTs facilitate access to information and technologies accumulated in in-house departments and joint-venture (JV) affiliates of the respondent firms. There are considerable differences between multinational companies (MNCs)/JVs and local firms. MNCs/JVs make use of information and technologies obtainable via ICTs from their own R&D departments, JVs established with local partners and foreign-owned suppliers/customers to improve factory management, mostly for product quality improvement and production cost reduction. In contrast, local firms interconnect their own R&D departments via ICTs to enhance their business performance in broader areas than MNCs/JVs, including the development of export markets.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-07



Discussion Paper

2010-06
Carbon Footprint Labeling
Activities in the East Asia Summit Region:
Spillover Effects to Less Developed Countries

 

Xunpeng SHI
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)

 

Abstract: This paper discusses carbon footprint (CFP) labeling activities in the East Asia Summit (EAS) region with a focus on their spillover effects on less developed countries (LDCs). Due to increased and increasing economic integration, implementation of CFP labeling schemes in one country will have significant impact on others. The impact is particularly significant for LDCs in the EAS region because: the EAS production networks are highly integrated, which provide necessary condition for the spill-over effects to be generated; LDCs generally lack the capacity to measure and label CFP of their products; and exports from LDCs often produced by relatively small producers. However, the effective inclusion of LDCs in labeling schemes may offer more and cost-effective opportunities for carbon emission reductions. The presence of spillover effects means that countries that are implementing carbon labeling schemes need to take stakeholders outside of their boundaries into consideration. The disadvantages of LDCs can be reduced by well designed carbon labeling schemes, by innovative solutions to low cost data collection and certification, and by technical transfer, training and capacity building.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-06



Discussion Paper

2010-05
Firm-level Analysis of Globalization:
A Survey of the Eight Literatures

 

Kazunobu HAYAKAWA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Fukunari KIMURA
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Abstract: This paper presents an extensive review of empirical studies that analyze the various impacts of the globalization phenomenon on corporate activities, using micro data. First, we set up a flow chart describing how globalization leads to national productivity enhancement. Secondly, we summarize the hypotheses and the methods explored in eight lines of literature on globalization, which this flow chart maps. Thirdly, we illustrate rich implication for economic consequences of trade liberalization and then discuss possible avenues for micro-data analyses

 

ERIA-DP-2010-05



Discussion Paper

2010-04
The Impacts of Face-to-face and Frequent Interactions on Innovation:
Upstream-Downstream Relations

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Yasushi UEKI
Bangkok Research Center-Japan External Trade Organization, Thailand

 

Abstract: This paper proposes a new mechanism linking innovation and networks in developing economies to identify explicit production and information linkages and investigates the testable hypotheses of these linkages using survey data gathered from manufacturing firms in East Asia: Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam. We found that firms that dispatched engineers to customers achieved more innovations than firms that did not. Just-in-time relationship is effective for dealing with process innovation. We found that such strong complementarities are not effective for product innovation. These findings support the hypothesis that face-to-face communication and strong complementarities among buyer-seller networks have different roles in product and process innovation.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-04

 

 

Discussion Paper

2010-03
Innovation in Linked and Non-linked Firms:
Effects of Variety of Linkages in East Asia

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Yasushi UEKI
Bangkok Research Center-Japan External Trade Organization, Thailand

 

Abstract: This paper proposes a new mechanism linking innovation and networks in developing economies to detect explicit production and information linkages. It investigates the testable implications of these linkages using survey data gathered from manufacturing firms in Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam. In-house R&D activities, internal resources, and linkages with local and foreign firms play a role in reducing the costs of product-and process innovation, and the search costs of finding new suppliers and customers. We found that firms with more variety of information linkages achieve more types of innovation. Complementarities between internal and external sources of knowledge are also found.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-03

 

 

Discussion Paper

2010-02
Search-theoretic Approach to Securing New Suppliers:
Impacts of Geographic Proximity for Importer and Non-importer

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-disciplinary Studies Center, Japan External Trade Organization

 

Yasushi UEKI
Bangkok Research Center, Japan External Trade Organization

 

Abstract: This paper empirically examines whether firms consider geographic proximity as they seek for a new supplier. While addressing the difference between importers and non-importers, we estimate the effects of geographic proximity on the dynamic process of procurement, using survey data gathered from manufacturing firms in Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam. We find that the firms procuring intermediate goods from nearby suppliers and locally owned firms are more likely to form new trade relationships with suppliers. The more sensitive they are about the geographic proximity of their suppliers, the more likely it is that locally dependent firms will seek out new sources of supply of raw materials. This relationship disappears for firms which import some of their inputs.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-02

 

 

Discussion Paper

2010-01
Spatial Architecture of the Production Networks in Southeast Asia

 

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-disciplinary Studies Center, Japan External Trade Organization

 

Yasushi UEKI
Bangkok Research Centre- Japan External Trade Organization, Thailand

 

Abstract: The main purpose of this paper is to provide empirical evidence on the inter-firm production networks in Southeast Asian developing economies. Using firm-level data obtained from a questionnaire survey of manufacturing firms in Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam in 2008, this paper presents the regional distribution of main customers and suppliers and their geographical proximity. Firm-level capabilities and transaction costs associated with specific inter-firm relationships would influence the distances between customers and suppliers. Ordered logistic estimations are carried out to examine factors affecting the spatial architecture of the production networks in the region.

 

ERIA-DP-2010-01

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-23
Foreign Presence Spillovers and Firms’ Export Response:Evidence from the Indonesian Manufacturing

 

Dionisius Narjoko
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), Indonesia

 

Abstract: This paper examines the existence of spillovers associated with the presence of multinational enterprises (MNEs) on a firm’s decision to export, and on export intensity. It utilizes data from Indonesian manufacturing for the census years 1996 and 2006. Channels through which MNEs can affect other firms’ export behavior are considered and tested. The econometric analysis suggests that the contribution of MNEs in improving technological knowledge raises the likelihood that domestic firms will enter the export market, and improves export performance. The analysis finds weak evidence to support the hypothesis that competition, created by the operation of MNEs, facilitates entry into export markets. Further analysis however shows that the impact of competition depends on the level of productivity of the domestic firms. In particular, the more productive firms are suggested to have been able to benefit more than the less productive ones. The overall analysis suggests that given the mixed evidence, policies to promote MNEs are still worth pursuing. The most obvious justification comes from the positive impact of the increased pool of technological knowledge. Other than this, strengthening trade facilitation seems to be a positive proposition, given the finding that many of the new domestic exporters seem to have been constrained in increasing their exports.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-23

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-22

Who Uses Free Trade Agreements?

Kazunobu HAYAKAWA
Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization, Japan

Daisuke HIRATSUKA
Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization, Japan

Kohei SHIINO
Overseas Research Department, Japan External Trade Organization, Japan

Seiya SUKEGAWA
Overseas Research Department, Japan External Trade Organization, Japan

Abstract:  It is noted that utilization of ASEAN Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) is low by international standards.  In order to clarify the reasons for such low utilization, this paper investigates what kinds of Japanese affiliates in ASEAN are more likely to use FTAs in their exporting, by employing unique affiliate-level data.  Our findings are as follows.  First, the larger the affiliate is, or the more diversified the origins of its procurements, the more likely it is to utilize an FTA scheme in its exporting.  Second, affiliates that export actively to countries with higher general tariffs are more likely to use FTAs. Third, there are clear differences in FTA utilization depending affiliates’ locations and sectors.

ERIA-DP-2009-22



Discussion Paper
2009-21
Resiliency of Production Networks in Asia: Evidence from the Asian Crisis

 

Ayako OBASHI
Faculty of Economics, Keio University

 

Abstract: This paper presents the resiliency of international production networks stretched across the Asian region in face of the Asian financial and currency crisis back in 1997-98, as well as confirming its stability with consideration to adverse effects of the crisis. To examine the probability of survival once a trade relationship is established and the probability of revival after the transaction is broken off, survival analysis is conducted using the country-product level trade data. A series of survival analyses provide evidence supporting the view that transactions of intermediate goods within production networks are more likely to be stable and resilient to a temporary disruption compared to other transactions. First, even after considering the impact of the Asian crisis, machinery parts & components are more likely to be traded through long-lived trade relationships compared to finished products in intra-Asian trade. Second, machinery parts & components are no exception in that a non negligible portion of trade relationships was actually broken off amid the Asian crisis, but many of them were restored shortly afterward as compared to the others.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-21

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-20
Fragmentation in East Asia: Further Evidence

 

Mitsuyo ANDO
Faculty of Business and Commerce, Keio University, Japan

 

Fukunari KIMURA
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Indonesia

 

Abstract: This paper analyzes the spatial pattern of production/distribution networks in East Asia. Two issues are investigated. The one is how the formation of networks has changed the intra- and inter-regional trade pattern. We find that an explosive expansion of intra-regional trade in machinery parts and components, in particular among developing countries, contributes to the current dense networking. The other is how corporate firms effectively organize fragmentation in terms of geographical distance and disintegration. The micro data of Japanese firms indicate that long-distance transactions are mainly intra-firm while transactions in local markets are predominantly arm’s-length (inter-firm), suggesting the formation of agglomeration.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-20

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-19
The Prospects for Coal: Global Experience and Implications for Energy Policy

 

Xunpeng SHI
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), Indonesia
Crawford School of Economics and Government,
The Australian National University (ANU), Australia

 

Abstract: This paper argues that coal and its industry is promising. It is found that the Western European (including the British) case has been misunderstood and the US case shows a developing coal industry under increasing levels of environmental pressure. The demonstration of the declining emissions intensity of coal provides an additional mean of reconciling the development of the coal industry with the environment. In the long term the enforcement of environmental regulations can benefit the coal industry in several ways, and the alternatives to coal are not yet available in a sufficiently large scale. Based on the positive prospects of coal, issues related to climate change, clean coal technology and energy policy are discussed.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-19

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-18
Income Distribution and Poverty in a CGE Framework:A Proposed Methodology

 

Sothea OUM
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), Indonesia
Centre of Policy Studies, Monash University, Australia

 

Abstract: The paper discusses methodologies addressing income distribution and poverty in a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model framework, by describing how to link CGE results with household survey data to analyze income distribution and poverty implications. The most basic approach is simply to fit the household income/expenditure to the survey data by suitable parametric distribution functions. The post-simulation poverty indices can be estimated by either assuming that the income of each individual household within the group moves proportionally with the group’s mean income, or by our proposed elasticity method. In our proposed method, we use the elasticity estimated from existing surveys to calculate the change in expenditure of each subgroup category in response to change in the household category’s mean consumption, supplied by the core model’s simulation, to derive post-simulation poverty indices. Our approach may better capture intra-group income distribution of households and moderate gains or losses in welfare from economic growths.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-18

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-17
ASEAN Rules of Origin:Lessons and Recommendations for Best Practice

 

Erlinda M. MEDALLA
Jenny BALBOA
Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS), Philippines.

 

Abstract: Rules of Origin (ROO) set the criteria in determining the nationality of a product and where a product was made. The importance of ROO has increased in the past years as more countries engage in Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and begun treating goods differently according to where the product was made, along with trade-specific preferences or restrictions to the imported good once its origin is determined. This study is done to cull the lessons from ASEAN’s experience in determining and implementing the Rules of Origin. It draws the important lessons and makes recommendations for best practice that would contribute to the cooperation and integration efforts in the region. The paper examines the various design and implementation practice in ROO regimes, focusing on RTAs where the ASEAN is involved. The paper presents findings from recent studies on the cost of ROO compliance and the FTA utilization rates. It concludes with recommendations on simplification of ROO and some reforms on administrative procedures, bringing in the development country dimension, and some general guidelines to follow to improve ROOs.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-17

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-16
Special Economic Zones and Economic Corridors

 

Masami ISHIDA
Development Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Abstract: Various reports show that special economic zones (SEZ) have become a prime catalyst for regional development in developing countries such as China and the ASEAN countries. The SEZ can be defined as a specific geographical region with economic laws that are more liberal than a country's typical economic laws. Many SEZs have characteristics of bonded zones, export processing zone (EPZ) or free trade zones and provide special incentives, including tax exemption or reduction to investors. The purpose of the paper is to enumerate the candidates for SEZ in Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam (CLMV countries) according to four types: "metropolitan areas," "ports and harbors," "border areas" and "junctions or intersections." The first two types are based on the experience of forerunning ASEAN countries and the latter two are based on the economic corridors of the Greater Mekong Sub region Economic Cooperation Program. The paper concludes by identifying locations for the questionnaire and flowchart approach-based surveys, and presenting country-specific strategies.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-16

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-15
Border Area Development in the GMS:Turning the Periphery into the Center of Growth

 

Toshihiro KUDO
Area Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Abstract: Border area development is neither an original nor a brand new idea of the author. It has long been discussed in a variety of words including border industries, growth triangles, growth areas and economic corridors. The Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Economic Cooperation revitalized the border area development as a new development strategy for less developed countries such as Cambodia, Lao PDR and Myanmar. This paper examines the location advantages of border areas, in particular of those between less developed regions and more developed ones. They include complementary factor endowment, cross-border infrastructure services and the degree of economic integration and border barriers. An industry located in border areas has a growth potential, as it can exploit the location advantages of the abundant and cheap labor force in less developed regions, while avoiding high service link costs and unstable utility services that accrue from underdeveloped infrastructure in less developed regions, by utilizing cross-border infrastructure services provided from more developed regions. Special economic zones (SEZs) located in the border areas can effectively exploit such location advantages and contribute to the formation of industrial clusters in border areas.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-15

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-14
Measuring Regulatory Restrictions in Logistics Services

 

Claire HOLLWEG

School of Economics, University of Adelaide, Australia

 

Marn-Heong WONG

Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy,
National University of Singapore (NUS), Singapore

 

Abstract: This study measures the extent of restrictions on trade in logistics services in the ASEAN+6 economies by constructing a logistics regulatory restrictiveness index for each economy that quantifies the extent of government regulations faced by logistics service providers. This is the first study of its kind to construct a regulatory index of the entire logistics sector, which includes the main modes of international transport and customs restrictions. The indices show that large differences exist in the logistics regulatory environment of ASEAN+6 economies. Many of these economies are open to trade in logistics services, while others are relatively restrictive. Malaysia, China, Indonesia, Lao PDR, the Philippines and Vietnam are the most restrictive economies of logistics services in this region. Relatively, Singapore and Australia are the most open economies for trade in logistics services, along with Japan and New Zealand. Preliminary investigations find evidence of negative relationships between logistics regulatory restrictiveness and logistics sector performance, as measured by the World Bank’s Logistics Performance Index and its sub-components. These findings support that notion that a less restricted trade environment results in better performance for the logistics sector.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-14

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-13
Business Views on Trade Facilitation

 

Loreli C. De DIOS

Center for the Advancement of Trade Integration and Facilitation

 

Abstract: Business views on the most important barriers to trade facilitation are taken from two region-wide surveys in 2006 covering the ASEAN priority integration sectors, namely: agro-based, fisheries, automotive, electronics, e-ASEAN, healthcare, rubber, textile and apparel, wood-based, air travel, tourism, and logistics. The data were reassembled into (1) border procedures, (2) individual barriers, (3) broad categories of barriers, and the results ranked in terms of incidence and significance. Border procedures such as unofficial facilitation fees, tedious goods declaration, poor information on procedures, difficult release of goods, and complex refund and appeals process were the most widespread and serious. Logistics businesses were similarly affected by lengthy documentation, burdensome inspection, varying goods nomenclature, facilitation fees, poor regional coordination, and inefficient clearance. Across all types of barriers, for the goods sector, Customs procedures and their manner of implementation were prevalent, while quantity control measures, official and unofficial fees, and technical standards were significant. For the services sector, the operator’s licensing requirement was the most common and severe, while high excise taxes, user fees, lengthy visa procedures, and market limits were further impediments. Logistics operators confirmed the singular importance of Customs procedures particularly time consuming documentation, followed by foreign ownership and transport-specific limitations. Time and monetary costs of complying were substantial.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-13

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-12
Monitoring Trade Costs in Southeast Asia

 

Patricia SOURDIN

School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS)
Johns Hopkins University

 

Richard POMFRET

School of Economics, University of Adelaide

 

Abstract: This paper develops an Index of Trade Costs for ASEAN Member Countries, 1990-2007 based on the gap between cif and fob values of ASEAN exports to Australia. The cif/fob gap is a commonly used aggregate measure of trade costs, and Australia is a useful benchmark for ASEAN countries because it is a large trading partner whose major ports of entry are roughly equidistant from the ASEAN countries. The case for using this Index as a measure of trade costs is set out in the first section. The second section examines the raw data for the ASEAN countries. The third section reports econometric analysis of the cif/fob measure to better understand why trade costs vary across countries and to compare the ASEAN members’ record to the global average during the period 1990-2007. The final section presents the two versions of the Index, discusses some reservations to using the cif/fob measure of trade costs, and suggests how the Index could be upgraded, maintained and extended.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-12

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-11
Barriers to Trade in Health and Financial Services in ASEAN

 

Philippa DEE
Huong DINH

Crawford School of Economics and Government,
The Australian National University, ANU, Australia

 

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to give background information on current barriers to trade in four services sectors in the ASEAN region. The information was summarized in a companion paper (Dee 2009), which also laid out concrete proposals for achieving the liberalization targets for these sectors from the ASEAN Economic Blueprint. The four key services are medical services (medical, dental and paramedical services), health services (hospital, medical laboratory and ambulance services), banking services and insurance services. The medical and health sectors are priority sectors under the ASEAN Economic Community Blueprint. This paper describes the survey instruments that were used to collect information about current regulatory policy settings in these sectors in each of the ten ASEAN economies, gives a detailed presentation of results, and compares the results to other recent surveys of services trade barriers in these sectors. In the case of healthcare, there are few comparable cross-country studies, and none that have looked at the evolution of services trade barriers over time. In the case of banking and insurance, by contrast, there have been several previous studies, two of which have looked at how services trade barriers in these sectors have changed over time. In this paper, the most recent information on barriers to financial services trade in ASEAN is also made comparable to that in these other recent studies, so that the current situation in ASEAN can be compared with the recent situation in a number of other developed and developing countries. The findings of the other recent studies on the patterns of financial services liberalization over time are also summarized, as this can give insights into likely patterns of liberalization in ASEAN.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-11

 

 

Discussion Paper

2009-10
The Impact of the US Subprime Mortgage Crisis on the World and East Asia:Through Analyses of Cross-border Capital Movements

Sayuri SHIRAI
Faculty of Policy Management, Keio University, Japan

Abstract: The world economy is currently suffering a global financial and economic crisis that has become severe since the second half of 2008. This global financial situation was triggered by the advent of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States that became apparent in mid-2007. Europe was the first area affected, thereafter its contagion spread to the rest of the world. East Asia did not escape. The nature of the current global financial crisis is unprecedented in terms of (1) the scale of the problems in the financial sector (particularly in the United States and Europe), (2) the depth and speed of contagion worldwide (through financial sector and trade linkages), and (3) the severity of the recession (particularly in emerging market economics, small countries, and East Asia). This paper analyzes, mainly, cross-border capital movements by looking at the pre-crisis features of the United States as the crisis hypocenter and its relationships with other countries. Detailed observations are presented on cross-border investment in stocks and debt securities, as well as banking activities. The paper then sheds light on the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on cross-border capital movements in the United States, the United Kingdom, and East Asia. Other performance indicators such as exchange rates, economic growth and international trade are also discussed in the case of East Asia. The paper examines several challenges posed for East Asia by the crisis.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-10

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-09
International Production Networks and Export/Import Responsiveness to Exchange Rates: The case of Japanese Manufacturing Firms

Mitsuyo ANDO
Keio University, Japan

Akie IRIYAMA
State University of New York at Buffalo


Abstract: This paper examines how international production/distribution networks provide individual firms with exporting/importing responsiveness to exchange rate movements. With the micro-data of Japanese manufacturing firms from 1994 to 2004, we find that firms’ exports tend to respond to exchange rate movements, in particular (1) when firms are large in size, (2) when majority-owned affiliates are dominant among their foreign affiliates, and (3) when their intra-firm trade ratio is moderately high. Furthermore, these tendencies are more salient for machinery firms, one of the major players in international production networks in East Asia. The results suggest that Japanese manufacturing firms, particularly machinery firms, with greater foreign operations under their own corporate control would better absorb shocks of exchange rate movements by adjusting intra-firm transactions more significantly. We do not find such tendencies for imports, however. The study provides implications for international production networks, which have developed drastically in East Asia.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-09

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-08
Vertical and Horizontal FDI Technology Spillovers: Evidence from Thai Manufacturing


Archanun KOHPAIBOON
Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, Thailand


Abstract: This paper examines Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) spillover, using an unbalanced panel data set of the manufacturing survey of Thailand during the period 2001-03. In this paper, not only are both horizontal and vertical FDI technology spillovers examined, but the former is also assumed to vary across industries. The key hypothesis is that horizontal FDI spillovers depend on the trade policy regime as well as the absorptive capability of locally owned plants. Our panel data econometric analysis highlights the important role of the trade policy regime as a conditional gain of horizontal FDI spillovers. In particular, positive horizontal FDI spillovers are found only in an industry operating in a relatively liberal environment. Interestingly, imposing an assumption of identical horizontal FDI spillovers across industry could result in biased estimates of vertical FDI spillovers. The key policy inference highlights the relative importance of the trade policy regime in harnessing the gain from foreign presence. Liberalizing the foreign investment regime thus has to go hand in hand with liberalizing the trade policy to gain FDI technology spillovers. Our finding here gives a warning not to overemphasize the role of linkages. It is the quality rather than magnitude of linkages that should be used a proxy of the magnitude of vertical FDI spillovers.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-08

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-07
Gains from Fragmentation at the Firm Level:Evidence from Japanese Multinationals in East Asia


Kazunobu HAYAKAWA
Inter-disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan


Fukunari KIMURA
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan


Toshiyuki MATSUURA
The Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Japan


Abstract: The unprecedented development of production networks in East Asia has been investigated, both theoretically and empirically, employing the conceptual framework of fragmentation theory and its extensions. However, the benefits of production fragmentation at the firm level, particularly benefits deriving from different location advantages, have never been directly measured empirically. This paper presents the very first attempt, to the authors’ knowledge, to empirically capture the benefits of fragmentation. Specifically, using Japanese firm-level data, we find that the larger the gap in the capital-labor ratios between fragmenting firms’ home and overseas activities, the more greatly their cost efficiency improves.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-07

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-06
Plant Entry in a More Liberalised Industrialisation Process: An Experience of Indonesian Manufacturing during the 1990s


Dionisius A. NARJOKO
Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Indonesia


Abstract: Some major policy changes towards a more open trade and investment regime occurred in Indonesia during the 1980s and 1990s. The impact of these policy changes on the country’s industrialisation has been generally favourable. However, little is known about the impact on the dynamics of plant in the country’s manufacturing. This study addresses this subject, examining the extent and determinants of plant entry in Indonesian manufacturing over the period 1993-96, and asking how the policy reforms affected plant entry. The key finding suggests that the policy reforms increased the extent of competition within industry. This, however, does not seem to be very strong, and the study puts forward some possible explanations. The discussion reaches a consensus that maybe, during the period under this study, the process of the reform had not really been completed and, at the same time, the (predicted) positive impact of the liberalisation had not been fully realised.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-06

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-05
Firm-level Analysis of Globalization: A Survey


Kazunobu HAYAKAWA
Inter-disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan


Fukunari KIMURA
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan


Tomohiko MACHIKITA
Inter-disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan


Abstract: This paper extensively reviews empirical studies that analyze the various impacts of the globalization phenomenon on corporate activities by using micro data. First, we set up a flow chart describing how globalization leads to national productivity enhancement. Secondly, we summarize the hypotheses and the methods explored in 13 lines of literature on globalization, which this flow chart maps. Thirdly, we discuss further possible avenues for micro data analysis. Finally, we provide some suggestions on statistics-related policies.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-05

 

 

Discussion Paper
2009-04
Learning-by-exporting in Korean Manufacturing: A Plant-level Analysis


Chin Hee HAHN
Korea Development Institute, Korea


Chang-Gyun PARK
College of Business Administration, Chung-Ang University, Korea


Abstract: The paper analyzes whether firms that start exporting become more productive utilizing recently developed sample matching procedures to control the problems from self-selection into the export market. We use plant level panel data on Korean manufacturing sector from 1990 to 1998. We find clear and robust empirical evidence in favor of the learning-by-exporting effect; total factor productivity differentials between exporters and their domestic counterparts arises and widens during several years after export market entry. We also find that the effect is more pronounced for firms that have higher skill-intensity, higher share of exports in production, and are small in size. Overall, the evidence suggests that exporting is one important channel through which domestic firms acquire accesses to advanced knowledge and better technology. Also, the stronger learning-by-doing effect for firms with higher skill-intensity seems to support the view that “absorptive capacity” matters to receive knowledge spillovers from exporting activity.

 

ERIA-DP-2009-04

 

 

Discussion Paper
No.2009-03
Stability of Production Networks in East Asia:Duration and Survival of Trade

Ayako OBASHI
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan


Abstract: This paper sheds light on the stability of international production networks in East Asia from the perspective of the duration and survival of bilateral trade relationships at the product-line level. Using highly disaggregated data for intra-East Asian machinery trade, survival analysis is conducted as well as the examinations of the duration and volatility of trade relationships. The product-level analyses reveal that, compared to machinery finished products, machinery parts & components are traded through longer-lived and more stable relationships among East Asian countries. Once transactions are started, trade relationships of machinery parts & components are more likely to be maintained between countries even at a long distance, regardless of the exchange-rate fluctuations. The probability of discontinuing trade relationships of machinery finished products, on the other hand, are more likely to be sensitive to the level of trading cost as well as the exchange-rate fluctuations.


ERIA-DP-2009-03

 

 

Discussion Paper

No.2009-02
The Spatial Structure of Production/Distribution Networks and Its Implication for Technology Transfers and Spillovers


Fukunari KIMURA
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Indonesia


Abstract: This paper argues that a variety of firm specificity supported by sophisticated inter-firm relationships is essential for understanding the mechanics and spatial structure of international production/distribution networks in East Asia. By mapping the two-dimensional fragmentation framework (Kimura and Ando (2005)) into geographical space, the paper proposes the concept of four layers of transactions in production/distribution networks: (i) local, (ii) sub-regional, (iii) regional, and (iv) the world. The concept effectively bridges geographical extensions of production/ distribution networks and the nature of transactions in terms of intra-firm vs. arm’s-length as well as technological/managerial conditions. In addition, the paper discusses the implications of such geographical structure of production/distribution networks for technology transfers/spillovers from multinationals to local firms and claims its importance in new development strategies.

ERIA-DP-2009-02

 

 

Discussion Paper
No.2009‐01
International Production Networks: Comparison between China and ASEAN

Fukunari KIMURA
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Indonesia


Ayako OBASHI
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan


Abstract: Although East Asia experiences splendid economic growth with the development of international production networks, remaining development gaps across countries and regions are still large. This paper compares regions within China and countries in ASEAN in terms of the degree of participation in international production networks and discusses similarities and differences between China and ASEAN in the conceptual framework of extended fragmentation theory. Examining intra-East-Asian exports of machinery products by regions/countries, we find that China and ASEAN share a number of common features. However, China presents a hint of convergence in regional trade patterns while ASEAN seems to stagnate in its trickle-down effects on latecomers.


ERIA-DP-2009-01

 

 

Discussion Paper
No.2008‐03
The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on International Trade in East Asia

Kazunobu HAYAKAWA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

Fukunari KIMURA
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Indonesia


Abstract: In this paper, we empirically investigate the relationship between exchange rate volatility and international trade, focusing on East Asia. Our findings are summarized as follows: First, intra-East Asian trade is discouraged by exchange rate volatility more seriously than trade in other regions. Second, one important source for the discouragement is that intermediate goods trade in international production networks , which is quite sensitive to exchange rate volatility compared with other types of trade, occupies a significant fraction of East Asian Trade. Third, the negative effect of the volatility is greater than that of tariffs and smaller than that of distance-related costs in East Asia.


ERIA-DP-2008-03

 

 

Discussion Paper
No.2008‐02
Predicting Long-Term Effects of Infrastructure Development Projects in Continental South East Asia: IDE Geographical Simulation Model


Satoru KUMAGAI
Toshitaka GOKEN
Ikumo ISONO
Souknilanh KEOLA
Institute of Developing Economies, Japan


Abstract: It is important to develop a rigorous economic geography model for predicting changes in the location of population and industries across regions in the process of economic integration. The IDE Geographical Simulation Model (IDE-GSM) has been developed for two major objectives: (1) to determine the dynamics of locations of population and industries in East Asia in the long term, and (2) to analyze the impact of specific infrastructure of the IDE-GSM is introduced in the article and accompanied with results of test analyses on the effects of the East West Economic Corridor on regions in Continental South East Asia. Results indicate that border costs appear to play a big role in the location choice of populations and industries, often a more important role than physical infrastructures themselves.

 

ERIA-DP-2008-02

 

 

Discussion Paper
No.2008‐01
Firm-level Analysis of Globalization: A Survey

 

Kazunobu HAYAKAWA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

Fukunari KIMURA
Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Japan
Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Indonesia

Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Inter-Disciplinary Studies Center, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan

 

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to extensively review empirical studies that analyze the globalization phenomena by using micro data. First, we set up a flow chart describing how the policy measures on globalization lead to national productivity enhancement. Second, we summarize the hypotheses and the methods explored in 12 literatures on globalization, which this flow chart is mapping. Last, we discuss further possible avenues in micro data analyses.

 

ERIA-DP-2008-01